Diagnostics of Cyclical Dynamics of Innovative Development in Peripheral Regions
the study is funded by the Russian Science Foundation project No. 25-77-10110 ”Innovative development of peripheral regions of Russia: spatial models and governance mechanism”.
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.52575/2687-0932-2026-53-2-301-319Keywords:
innovation development, economic reproduction, innovation reproduction, center and periphery, Kitchin cycles, economic cycle, Western Borderlands of Russia, border regionsAbstract
The article is devoted to the problem of innovation development of periphery using the example of Russia's Western border regions as a special problem area which is susceptible to additional risks in the current geo-economic conditions. The author considers peripheral position to be a systemic characteristic of a territory, and views it in the conditions of relativity of multilevel central-peripheral systems. Accordingly, the regions of the Western Borderlands, while being a periphery in relation to the federal center, have their own centers that act as conductors and generators of innovative development waves spreading to the periphery. The research considers Saint Petersburg, Rostov and Belgorod regions to be such centers. The study identifies the zones of their local attraction, lag inertia and periphery’s dependence on the centers. The methodology is based on nonparametric and statistical analysis of dynamic series. It traces the main indicators of innovative development, grouped according to the principle of stages of the innovation reproduction cycle. The research reveals that the dynamics of Kitchin cycles is reproduced, but fades away both from the center to periphery, and from one stage of innovative reproduction to another. Similarly, the dynamics of negative impulses caused by the geo-economic events of 2014, 2020 and 2022 is reproduced. The study has revealed that the lag period of transmission of innovative dynamics impulses between the federal center and local ones is from twelve to eighteen months. However, individual regions (primarily focused on tourist demand) are in closer cooperation with the capital, therefore they practically do not have lag inertia, while the northern regions do not have their own cycle due to the dependence on government orders.
Downloads
References
Список источников
Росстат. Федеральная служба государственной статистики. URL: https://rosstat.gov.ru/ (даты обращения: 3-19.11.2025).
Список литературы
Балацкий Е.В. 2024. Феномен стратегических преимуществ в XXI веке. Экономические и социальные перемены: факты, тенденции, прогноз, 4: 39–57.
Валлерстайн И. 2021. Анализ мировых систем и ситуация в современном мире. Пер. с англ. П.М. Кудюкина; Под ред. Б.Ю. Кагарлицкого. СПб.: Университетская книга, 416 с.
Валлерстайн И. 2008. Модернизация: мир праху ее. Социология: теория, методы, маркетинг, 2: 21–25.
Гонтарь Н.В. 2022. Центро-периферийность «морских» трансграничных регионов: концептуальный подход к идентификации и формированию системы мониторинга. Псковский регионологический журнал, 4: 71–89.
Горочная В.В. 2019a. Кластерообразование и инновационная безопасность в регионах Западного порубежья России: инвентаризация и основные тренды развития. Региональная экономика и управление: электронный научный журнал, 59 (3): 11.
Горочная В.В. 2019b. Инновационная безопасность и кластеризация в динамике мультициклического регионального воспроизводства: декомпозиция, модель, специфика приграничных регионов. Экономические науки, 181: 200–214.
Горочная В.В., Вольхин Д.А. 2021. Структура угроз инновационной безопасности и регулирование инновационного развития западных приграничных регионов России. Ученые записки Крымского федерального университета имени В.И. Вернадского. География. Геология, 7, 1: 3–25.
Горочная В.В., Михайлов А.С., Михайлова А.А. 2020. Инновационная безопасность региона в условиях геоэкономической турбулентности: динамический подход к оценке на примере Ростовской и Калининградской областей. Вопросы инновационной экономики, 10, 1: 291–306.
Горочная В.В., Михайлов А.С., Хвалей Д.В. 2021. Центр-периферийное измерение инновационной безопасности в западных приграничных регионах России (на примере Ростовской области). Вестник Балтийского федерального университета им. И. Канта. Серия: Естественные и медицинские науки, 1: 5–26.
Казаков М.Ю., Камышанченко Е.Н. 2024. Диалектика агломеративно-кумулятивного и дисперсно-сетевого подходов к организации и функционированию производительных сил: как из дихотомии получить синергию? Вестник Адыгейского государственного университета. Серия 5: Экономика, 341 (3): 66–74.
Казаков М.Ю., Фомиченко С.А. 2024. Сете-узловой формат насыщения экономического пространства объектами цифровой инфраструктуры. Вестник Адыгейского государственного университета. Серия 5: Экономика, 341 (3): 75–82.
Кайбичева Е.И. 2024. На пути к целям устойчивого развития: центры и периферия. Инновационная экономика: перспективы развития и совершенствования, 78 (4): 59–64.
Кайбичева Е.И. 2018. Эволюция теоретических подходов к исследованию периферийных территорий. Региональная экономика: теория и практика, 448 (1): 4–17.
Кожевников С.А., Ворошилов Н.В. 2024. Агломерационные процессы в регионах России: особенности и проблемы активизации позитивных эффектов. Экономические и социальные перемены: факты, тенденции, прогноз, 1: 91–109.
Козлов В.А., Коробкова Н.П. 2014. Миросистемная теория И. Валлерстайна: позиционирование, корни, генезис. Известия АлтГУ, 84 (4): 279–283.
Колосов В.А., Себенцов А.Б., Морачевская К.А. 2024. Формальные границы и трансграничные взаимодействия: страна – регион – муниципалитет. Балтийский регион, 3: 21–41.
Котило С.Г., Минина М.В. 2025. Периферийность как один из факторов диспропорционального социально-экономического развития территорий. Интеллект. Инновации. Инвестиции, 1: 52–70.
Кузин В.Ю. 2024. Центр-периферийная теория в пространственном развитии: критический анализ. Вестник Балтийского федерального университета им. И. Канта. Серия: Естественные и медицинские науки, 2: 57–67.
Лубский А.В., Ковалев В.В. 2018. Геопространственный подход и геоисторическая парадигма евразийских исследований. Философия права, 84 (1): 35–40.
Межевич А.Н., Ситов И.П. 2023. Приграничное сотрудничество Российской Федерации и Республики Беларусь: проблемы развития в новых экономических и политических условиях. Управленческое консультирование, 174 (6): 137–144.
Мельникова Л.В. 2024. «Ядро-периферия» и периферийность в региональной науке. Пространственная экономика, 1: 144–162.
Носонов А.М., Чернобровкина В. А., Шурр А.В. 2025. Перетоки знания как фактор развития сельского хозяйства регионов России. Известия Саратовского университета. Новая серия. Серия Науки о Земле, 1: 40–50.
Проблемы экономической безопасности регионов Западного порубежья России. 2019. Калининград: Издательство БФУ им. И. Канта, 267 c.
Середюк И.В. 2024. Стратегический потенциал создания открытых диффузных агломераций региона и особенности их стратегирования. Стратегирование: теория и практика, 4: 420–237.
Хамина Н.В. 2018. Идентификация внутрирегиональной периферии (на примере регионов Восточной Сибири). Геополитика и экогеодинамика регионов, 4: 283–291.
Экономическая безопасность регионов Западного порубежья России. 2021. Калининград: Издательство БФУ им. И. Канта, 232 с.
Barbaro S., Napoli G., Trovato M.R. 2022. Circular economy and social circularity. Diffuse social housing and adaptive reuse of real estate in internal areas. Urban Regeneration Through Valuation Systems for Innovation. Cham: Springer International Publishing: 229–244.
Druzhinin A.G., Gorochnaya V.V., Mikhaylov A.S., Dets I.A., Latchninsky S.S., Volkhin D.A. 2016. Trans-aquatorial clustering within the trend of cross-border international economic interactions. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 6(S5): 128–135.
Dzhengiz T., Patala S. 2024. The role of cross‐sector partnerships in the dynamics between places and innovation ecosystems. R&D Management, 54(2): 370–397.
Friedmann J. 1966. Regional Development Policy: A Case Study of Venezuela. MIT Press, 279 p.
Gong H., Binz C., Hassink R., Trippl M. 2022. Emerging industries: institutions, legitimacy and system-level agency. Regional Studies, 56(4): 523–535.
Gong H., Zhen Yu, Binz C., Truffer B. 2024. Beating the casino: Conceptualizing an anchoring-based third route to regional development. Economic Geography, 100(2): 107–137.
Gorochnaya V., Mikhaylov A., Plotnikova A., Mikhaylova A. 2021. The interdependence between tourism and innovation activity in the Western borderlands of Russia. Geojournal of Tourism and Geosites, 34(1): 147–154.
Gorochnaya V.V. 2020. Typology of western border regions of Russia by the level and specifics of innovation security problems. Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference Spatial Development of Territories (SDT 2020). Ser. "Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research" Editors: Elena Stryabkova, Anna Kulik, Evgeny Buchwald: 196–203.
Gorochnaya V.V., Mikhailov A.S. 2019. Regional innovation security: a dynamic approach to new challenges for the Western borderland of Russia. The 13th international days of statistics and economics. Conference Proceedings. The Department of Statistics and Probability and the Department of Microeconomics, University of Economics, Prague, Czech Republic; Faculty of Economics, The Technical University of Košice; The Ton Duc Thung University, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam: 425–433.
Nilsen T., Grillitsch M., Hauge A. 2023. Varieties of periphery and local agency in regional development. Regional Studies, 57(4): 749–762.
Pinheiro F.L., Balland P.A., Boschma R., Hartmann D. 2025. The dark side of the geography of innovation: relatedness, complexity and regional inequality in Europe. Regional Studies, 59(1): 2106362.
Thakur P., Wilson V.H. 2024. Circular innovation ecosystem: a multi-actor, multi-peripheral and multi-platform perspective. Environment, Development and Sustainability, Vol. 26, 6: 14327–14350.
Torre A., Wallet F., Huang J. 2023. A collaborative and multidisciplinary approach to knowledge-based rural development: 25 years of the PSDR program in France. Journal of Rural Studies, 97: 428–437.
Torre A. 2022. Smart development for peripheral areas. A never-ending story? Tér és Társadalom, 36(3): 10–27.
Yakovenko N.V., Rakhimbekova Z.S., Karanashev A.Kh., Tsoy M.Ye., Azarova N.A., Semenova L.V., Nikolskaya E.Y., Semenova E.Y. 2024. Innovative development of Russian regions: assessment and dynamics in the context of sustainable development. Sustainability, 16(3): 1271.
References
Balatsky E.V. 2024. The Phenomenon of Strategic Advantages in the 21st Century. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, trends, forecast, 4: 39–57 (in Russian).
Wallerstein I. 2021. Analysis of World Systems and the Situation in the Modern World. Translated from English by P.M. Kudyukin; Edited by B.Y. Kagarlitsky. St. Petersburg: University Book, 416 p. (in Russian).
Wallerstein I. 2008. Modernization: Peace be upon Her. Sociology: Theory, Methods, Marketing, 2: 21–25 (in Russian).
Gontar N.V. 2022. Centrality and Peripherality of ‘Marine’ Cross-border Regions: a Conceptual Approach to Identification and Formation of a Monitoring System. Pskov Regionological Journal, 4: 71–89 (in Russian).
Gorochnaya V.V. 2019a. Clustering and Innovation Security in the Regions of Western Russia: Inventory and Main Development Trends. Regional Economics and Management: Electronic Scientific Journal, 59 (3): 11 (in Russian).
Gorochnaya V.V. 2019b. Innovative Security and Clustering in the Dynamics of Multicyclic Regional Reproduction: Decomposition, Model, Specifics of Border Regions. Economic Sciences, 181: 200–214 (in Russian).
Gorochnaya V.V., Volkhin D.A. 2021. Structure of Threats to Innovation Security and Regulation of Innovation Development in the Western Border Regions of Russia. Scientific notes of the V.I. Vernadsky Crimean Federal University. Geography. Geology, 7 (1): 3–25 (in Russian).
Gorochnaya V.V., Mikhailov A.S., Mikhailova A.A. 2020. Innovative Security in the Region in Terms of Geo-economic Turbulence: the Dynamic Approach to Assessment on the Example of the Rostov and Kaliningrad Regions. Issues of Innovative Economics, 10 (1): 291–306 (in Russian).
Gorochnaya V.V., Mikhailov A.S., Khvalei D.V. 2021. Center-Peripheral Dimension of Innovative Security in The Western Border Regions Of Russia (the Case of the Rostov Region). Bulletin of the Baltic Federal University named after I. Kant. Series: Natural and Medical Sciences, 1: 5–26 (in Russian).
Kazakov M.Yu., Kamyshanchenko E.N. 2024. Dialectic of Agglomerative-Cumulative and Dispersed-Network Approaches to the Organization and Functioning of Productive Forces: How to Get Synergy out of a Dichotomy? Bulletin of the Adygea State University. Series 5: Economics, 341 (3): 66–74 (in Russian).
Kazakov M.Yu., Fomichenko S.A. 2024. Set is a Nodal Format for Saturating the Economic Space with Digital Infrastructure Facilities. Bulletin of the Adygea State University. Series 5: Economics, 341 (3): 75–82 (in Russian).
Kaybicheva E.I. 2024. Towards the Sustainable Development Goals: Centers and Peripheries. Innovative Economy: Prospects for development and improvement, 78 (4): 59–64 (in Russian).
Kaybicheva E.I. 2018. Evolution of Theoretical Approaches to the Study of Peripheral Territories. Regional Economics: Theory and Practice, 448 (1): 4–17 (in Russian).
Kozhevnikov S.A., Voroshilov N.V. 2024. Agglomeration Processes in Russian Regions: Features and Problems of Activating Positive Effects. Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, forecast, 1: 91–109 (in Russian).
Kozlov V.A., Korobkova N.P. 2014. I. Wallerstein’s Worldsystem Theory: Positioning, Roots, Genesis. Proceedings of AltGU, 84 (4): 279–283 (in Russian).
Kolosov V.A., Sebentsov A.B., Morachevskaya K.A. 2024. Formal Borders and Cross-Border Interactions: Country – Region – Municipality. Baltic Region, 3: 21–41 (in Russian).
Kotilo S.G., Minina M.V. 2025. Peripherality as One of the Factors of Disproportionate Socio-Economic Development of Territories. Intelligence. Innovation. Investments, 1: 52–70 (in Russian).
Kuzin V.Y. 2024. Center-peripheral Theory in Spatial Development: a Critical Analysis. Bulletin of the I. Kant. Baltic Federal University. Series: Natural and Medical Sciences, 2: 57–67 (in Russian).
Lubsky A.V., Kovalev V.V. 2018. Geospatial Approach and the Geohistorical Paradigm of Eurasian Studies. Philosophy of Law, 84 (1): 35–40 (in Russian).
Mezhevich A.N., Sitov I.P. 2023. Cross-border Cooperation Between the Russian Federation and the Republic of Belarus: Problems of Development in New Economic and Political Conditions. Management Consulting. 174 (6): 137–144 (in Russian).
Melnikova L.V. 2024. ‘Core-periphery’ and Peripherality in Regional Science. Spatial Economics, 1: 144–162 (in Russian).
Nosonov A.M., Chernobrovkina V. A., Shurr A.V. 2025. Knowledge Flows as a Factor in the Development of Agriculture in Russia's Regions. Bulletin of Saratov University. Ser. Earth Sciences, 1: 40–50 (in Russian).
Problems of Economic Security in the Regions of the Western Borderlands of Russia. 2019. Kaliningrad: Publishing House of the I. Kant. Baltic Federal University, 267 p. (in Russian).
Seredyuk I.V. 2024. Strategic Potential of Creating Open Diffuse Agglomerations in the Region and the Specifics of Their Strategization. Strategizing: Theory and Practice, 4: 420–237 (in Russian).
Hamina N.V. 2018. Identification of the Intraregional Periphery (Using the Example of the Regions of Eastern Siberia). Geopolitics and Ecogeodynamics of Regions, 4: 283–291 (in Russian).
Economic Security of the Regions of the Western Borderlands of Russia. 2021. Kaliningrad: Publishing House of the BFU named after I. Kant, 232 p. (in Russian).
Barbaro S., Napoli G., Trovato M.R. 2022. Circular Economy and Social Circularity. Diffuse Social Housing and Adaptive Reuse of Real Estate in Internal Areas. Urban Regeneration Through Valuation Systems for Innovation. Cham: Springer International Publishing: 229–244.
Druzhinin A.G., Gorochnaya V.V., Mikhaylov A.S., Dets I.A., Latchninsky S.S., Volkhin D.A. 2016. Trans-aquatorial clustering within the trend of Cross-border International Economic Interactions. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues. 6 (S5): 128–135.
Dzhengiz T., Patala S. 2024. The Role of cross‐sector partnerships in the Dynamics between Places and Innovation Ecosystems. R&D Management, 54 (2): 370–397.
Friedmann J. 1966. Regional Development Policy: A Case Study of Venezuela. MIT Press, 279 p.
Gong H., Binz C., Hassink R., Trippl M. 2022. Emerging Industries: Institutions, Legitimacy and System-level Agency. Regional Studies, 56 (4): 523–535.
Gong H., Zhen Yu, Binz C., Truffer B. 2024. Beating the Casino: Conceptualizing an Anchoring-Based Third Route to Regional Development. Economic Geography, 100 (2): 107–137.
Gorochnaya V., Mikhaylov A., Plotnikova A., Mikhaylova A. 2021. The Interdependence between Tourism and Innovation Activity in the Western Borderlands of Russia. Geojournal of Tourism and Geosites, 34 (1): 147–154.
Gorochnaya V.V. 2020. Typology of Western Border Regions of Russia by the Level and Specifics of Innovation Security Problems. Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference Spatial Development of Territories (SDT 2020). Ser. "Advances in Economics, Business and Management Research" Editors: Elena Stryabkova, Anna Kulik, Evgeny Buchwald: 196–203.
Gorochnaya V.V., Mikhailov A.S. 2019. Regional Innovation Security: a Dynamic Approach to New Challenges for the Western Borderland of Russia. The 13th international days of statistics and economics. Conference Proceedings. The Department of Statistics and Probability and the Department of Microeconomics, University of Economics, Prague, Czech Republic; Faculty of Economics, The Technical University of Košice; The Ton Duc Thung University, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam: 425–433.
Nilsen T., Grillitsch M., Hauge A. 2023. Varieties of Periphery and Local Agency in Regional Development. Regional Studies, 57 (4): 749–762.
Pinheiro F.L., Balland P.A., Boschma R., Hartmann D. 2025. The Dark Side of the Geography of Innovation: Relatedness, Complexity and Regional Inequality in Europe. Regional Studies. 59 (1): 2106362.
Thakur P., Wilson V.H. 2024. Circular Innovation Ecosystem: a Multi-Actor, Multi-Peripheral and Multi-Platform Perspective. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 26 (6): 14327–14350.
Torre A., Wallet F., Huang J. 2023. A Collaborative and Multidisciplinary Approach to Knowledge-Based Rural Development: 25 Years of the PSDR Program in France. Journal of Rural Studies, 97: 428–437.
Torre A. 2022. Smart Development for Peripheral Areas. A Never-ending Story? Tér és Társadalom, 36 (3): 10–27.
Yakovenko N.V., Rakhimbekova Z.S., Karanashev A.Kh., Tsoy M.Ye., Azarova N.A., Semenova L.V., Nikolskaya E.Y., Semenova E.Y. 2024. Innovative Development of Russian Regions: Assessment and Dynamics in the Context of Sustainable Development. Sustainability, 16 (3): 1271.
Abstract views: 0
Share
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
Copyright (c) 2026 Economics. Information Technologies
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
