Method for Predicting the Duration of Major Repairs of Buildings Based on Fuzzy Logical Inference
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.52575/2687-0932-2025-52-3-697-709Keywords:
automation of planning of buildings capital repairs, network schedule, program evaluation and review technique, fuzzy sets, fuzzy logical inference, neural network, work durationAbstract
The article presents a solution to an urgent scientific and technical problem consisting in developing a method for forecasting the duration of major repairs of buildings. The proposed method is based on the use of fuzzy logical inference to estimate the coefficient of adjustment of the duration of work relative to the standard value. The input variables are the indicators of the most important factors affecting the duration of a specific job. These include the qualifications of the performers, the quality of the materials used, and the complexity of the conditions for performing the work. To adjust the parameters of fuzzy inference, an ANFIS model is used. To train it, a sample is compiled, taking into consideration the retrospective results of work with the participation of certain performers and the use of certain names of materials. Numerous computational experiments have confirmed the expediency and practicabilty of the proposed method. The results obtained can be used in further research on the construction of an automated system for planning major repairs of buildings and the development of appropriate software.
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Andiyan A., Putra R.M., Rembulan G.D., Tannady H. 2021. Construction Project Evaluation Using CPM- Crashing, CPM-PERT and CCPM for Minimize Project Delays. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 1933 (1): 012096.
Aulia S., Cipta H. 2023. Network Planning Analysis Using CPM and PERT Methods on Optimization of Time and Cost. Sinkron. Jurnal Dan Penelitian Teknik Informatika, 7(1): 171–177.
Chang Y., Jiang Y., Zhang C., Xue A., Chen B., Zhang W., Xu L., Liu X., Dai Y. 2021. PERT based emergency disposal technique for fracture failure of deepwater drilling riser. Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering, 201: 108407.
Deng J., Jian W. 2022. Estimating Construction Project Duration and Costs upon Completion Using Monte Carlo Simulations and Improved Earned Value Management. Buildings, 12 (12): 2173.
Desticioğlu B. 2022. Project planning with CPM and PERT methods: example of defence industry. Journal of Naval Sciences and Engineering, 18(2): 363–385.
Farida Y., Anenda L.P. 2022. Network Planning Analysis on Road Construction Projects by CV. X Using Evaluation Review Technique (PERT)-Critical Path Method (CPM) and Crashing Method. International Journal of Integrated Engineering, 14(4): 377–390.
Haekal J., Masood I. 2023. Simulation of ERP project scheduling using CPM and PERT method with promodel: A case studies in food and beverage companies in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. AIP Conference Proceedings, 2530 (1): 040003.
Hudda S., Barnwal R., Chejara T., Khurana A. 2025. An MCDA and PERT Based Novel Approach for Prioritization of User Stories in Agile Environment. Computational Science and Computational Intelligence, 2505: 248–262.
Putra E.S., Rodhi N.N., Ratnasari A.K. 2024. Scheduling Analysis on the Heavy Rehabilitation Construction Project of the Dr. R. Koesma Tuban Hospital Building Using the PERT Method. Borneo Engineering: Jurnal Teknik Sipil, 8: 4977.
Polshchykov K.A., Velikanova A.S., Igityan E.V. 2022. Neural network natural language processing tools for identifying personal priorities in the project performer's selection in the field of smart agriculture. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 1069(1): 012012.
Silva J., Ávila P., Patrício L. 2022. Improvement of planning and time control in the project management of a metalworking industry – case study. Procedia Computer Science, 196: 288–295.
Tam D.S.H., Liu Y., Xu H., Xie S., Lau W.C. 2023. PERT-GNN: Latency Prediction for Microservice-based Cloud-Native Applications via Graph Neural Networks. Proceedings of the 29th ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, 2155–2165.
Zaneldin E., Ahmed W. 2024. A Generic Framework for Managing Schedule and Cost Risks of Construction Activities Using PERT and the EV Technique. Buildings, 14(7): 1918.
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