Assessment of the significance of threats to economic security for leading domestic ferrous metallurgy enterprises

the reported study was funded by RFBR according to the research project № 19-310- 90004.

Abstract

The article presents a theoretical and practical justification of the system approach for assessing the significance of threats to economic security that are characteristic of ferrous metallurgy enterprises. The necessity of constant monitoring of external and internal factors affecting this assessment is justified. To build an adequate system of threshold values for economic security indicators, we used a set of mathematical and expert methods that allow us to divide the state classes even taking into account the volatility of the indicators accepted for consideration.As a result of modeling the significance of various groups of threats to economic security, we came to the conclusion that the most important endogenous threats for metallurgical enterprises are financial, economic, technical, technological and marketing, among exogenous-internal and external market threats. Knowledge of the range of main threats and the degree of their impact on ferrous metallurgy enterprises will help to create a comprehensive fuzzy-logical model for assessing economic security and will allow you to make forecast scenario plans for business development, knowing approximate trends.