Modeling of Endogenous Economic Growth in Russian Regions
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.52575/2687-0932-2026-53-1-27-34Keywords:
endogenous growth, regional economy, Russian regional economy, endogenous growth factors, endogenous growth modelingAbstract
Modeling the endogenous growth of Russian regions is a pressing issue in the current economic environment, driven by the need to reduce dependence on raw materials, transition to an innovative economy, adapt to sanctions pressure and geopolitical changes, and strengthen the role of territories in ensuring the country's technological sovereignty. Endogenous growth is important for regional economies, as its key factors (technology, knowledge, and human capital) are formed within the territorial system rather than imposed externally. The purpose of this study is to identify and substantiate the factors driving economic growth in constituent entities of the Russian Federation within regions, relying on their own resources, competencies, and interrelations instead of external infusions (raw material exports, federal transfers, and foreign investment). The paper identifies the determinants of endogenous growth in Russian regions and presents regression equations for forecasting the economic performance of territorial systems based on these equations.
Downloads
References
Список литературы
Антонова М.В. 2022. Влияние демографических факторов на финансово-экономические результаты региона (на примере Белгородской области). Экономика. Информатика, 49(3): 445–455. DOI 10.52575/2687-0932-2022-49-3-445-455
Антонова М.В. 2025. Статистические показатели оценки E-критерия устойчивого развития региона: методический аспект. Проблемы развития национальной экономики в цифрах статистики: Материалы ХII международной научно-практической конференции. В 3-х томах, Тамбов, 11 ноября 2025 года. Тамбов: Издательский дом «Державинский», 2025: 36–40. EDN TIRDZT.
Багаутдинова Н.Г., Кадочникова Е.И. 2023. К вопросу о факторах эндогенного роста в регионах. Анализ, Моделирование, Управление, Развитие социально-экономических систем (АМУР-2023): сборник научных трудов XVII Международной школы-симпозиума. К 105-летию ФГАОУ ВО «КФУ им. В.И. Вернадского», Симферополь-Судак, 14–27 сентября 2023 года. Симферополь: Индивидуальный предприниматель Корниенко Андрей Анатольевич, 2023: 47–50. EDN OMLSFB.
Манаева И.В. 2025. Здоровье населения и экономика в российских регионах: параметры и зависимости. Проблемы развития территории, 29 (1): 89–106. DOI 10.15838/ptd.2025.1.135.7. EDN KOUFGK.
Матризаев Б.Д. 2024. Теория эндогенного роста: исследование исторических предпосылок и ретроспективных особенностей эволюции в рамках отдельных макроэкономических парадигм и моделей экономического роста. Теоретическая экономика, 8 (116): 61–73.
Сорокина О.В., Браткова В.В. 2025. Институциональные детерминанты эндогенного экономического роста. KANT, 3 (56): 147–152. EDN: KBDAIJ. DOI 10.24923/2222-243X.2025- 56.21
Chandra R. 2022. Endogenous growth in historical perspective: From Adam Smith to Paul Romer. London: Palgrave Macmillan.
Huang X., Dong J., Li X. 2025. Fintech, technological innovation and regional economic growth: Theoretical modeling and empirical evidence. China Economic Review, 91: 102397. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102397
Lucas R.E. 1988. On the Mechanics of Economic Development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22, 3–42.
Rebelo S. 1991. Long-run policy analysis and long-run growth. Journal of political Economy, 99 (3): 500–521.
Romer P.M. 1994. The origins of endogenous growth. Journal of Economic perspectives, 8 (1): 3–22.
Šlander-Wostner S., Križanič F., Vojinovic B. 2025. Endogenous growth factors and economic development: An in-depth analysis of the impact of investments in R&D and human capital on total factor productivity and export dynamics. Engineering Economics, 36 (2): 255–267. DOI https://doi.org/10.5755/j01.ee.36.2.35715
References
Antonova М.V. 2022. The Influence of Demographic Factors on the Financial and Economic Results of the Region (on the Example of the Belgorod Region). Economics. Information technologies, 49(3): 445–455 (in Russian). DOI 10.52575/2687-0932-2022-49-3-445-455
Antonova М.V. 2025. Statistical indicators for assessing the E-criterion for sustainable regional development: a methodological aspect. Problems of national economic development in statistical figures: Proceedings of the XII International Scientific and Practical Conference. In 3 volumes, Tambov, November 11, 2025. Tambov: Derzhavinsky Publishing House: 36–40 (in Russian). EDN TIRDZT.
Bagautdinova N.G., Kadochnikova E.I. 2023. On the Factors of Endogenous Growth in the Regions. Analysis, Modeling, Management, Development of Socio-Economic Systems (AMUR-2023): Collection of Scientific Papers of the XVII International School-Symposium. On the 105th Anniversary of the Federal State Autonomous Educational Institution of Higher Education "KFU named after V.I. Vernadsky", Simferopol-Sudak, September 14–27, 2023. Simferopol: Individual Entrepreneur Kornienko Andrey Anatolyevich. 47–50 (in Russian). EDN OMLSFB.
Manaeva I.V. 2025. Population health and economy in Russian regions: parameters and dependencies. Problems of territorial development, 29 (1): 89–106 (in Russian). DOI 10.15838/ptd.2025.1.135.7. EDN KOUFGK.
Matrizaev B.D. 2024. Theory of endogenous growth: a study of historical prerequisites and retrospective features of evolution within the framework of individual macroeconomic paradigms and models of economic growth. Theoretical Economics, 8 (116): 61–73 (in Russian).
Sorokina O.V., Bratkova V.V. 2025. Institutional determinants of endogenous economic growth. KANT, 3 (56): 147–152 (in Russian). EDN: KBDAIJ. DOI 10.24923/2222-243X.2025- 56.21
Chandra R. 2022. Endogenous growth in historical perspective: From Adam Smith to Paul Romer. London: Palgrave Macmillan.
Huang X., Dong J., Li X. 2025. Fintech, technological innovation and regional economic growth: Theoretical modeling and empirical evidence. China Economic Review, 91: 102397. DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2025.102397
Lucas R.E. 1988. On the Mechanics of Economic Development. Journal of Monetary Economics, 22, 3–42.
Rebelo S. 1991. Long-run policy analysis and long-run growth. Journal of political Economy, 99 (3): 500–521.
Romer P.M. 1994. The origins of endogenous growth. Journal of Economic perspectives, 8 (1): 3–22.
Šlander-Wostner S., Križanič F., Vojinovic B. 2025. Endogenous growth factors and economic development: An in-depth analysis of the impact of investments in R&D and human capital on total factor productivity and export dynamics. Engineering Economics, 36 (2): 255–267. DOI https://doi.org/10.5755/j01.ee.36.2.35715
Abstract views: 0
Share
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
Copyright (c) 2026 Economics. Information Technologies
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
